Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 10/11, 12:00

Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Raul Brancaccio

Team pages: Oskari Paldanius · Raul Brancaccio

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Oskari Paldanius Raul Brancaccio
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLWW
Raul Brancaccio 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1596 · Raul Brancaccio 1446
Oskari PaldaniusRaul Brancaccio
Our model70%30%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskari Paldanius (rating 1596 vs 1446).
  • Oskari Paldanius is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Oskari PaldaniusRaul Brancaccio
Win %80%30%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.60.9-1.5
Games (G-P)12.9-8.210.4-12.2
Aces1.42.3
Double faults1.93
1st serve %68%62.3%
Break %54.8%38.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oskari Paldanius

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Hersonissos · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/11 Henri Haupt
Challenger Hersonissos · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
04/11 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
25/10 Arda Azkara
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
24/10 Sergey Petrov
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/10 Volodymyr Iakubenko
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/10 Jannik Maute
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W
21/10 Rihards Neimanis
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/10 Romain Faucon
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/10 Amr Asrawy
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W

Raul Brancaccio

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Taranto · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
22/10 Alexander Ritschard
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
20/10 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/10 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Maia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/10 Moez Echargui
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/09 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
21/09 Filippo Romano
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/09 Hynek Barton
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 9-16 L
11/09 Jaume Munar
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 8-14 L
09/09 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 17-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Raul Brancaccio?

Our model gives 59% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.