Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Matias Reyniak vs Matthew Thomson
Team pages: Matias Reyniak · Matthew Thomson
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Reyniak
Matthew Thomson
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Reyniak
6-4 (W-L)
Matthew Thomson
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Reyniak 1519 · Matthew Thomson 1527
| Matias Reyniak | Matthew Thomson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matthew Thomson makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Matias Reyniak | Matthew Thomson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.4 | 13.3-13.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Reyniak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Cezar Cretu M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Victor Ryden M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Carles Rojas M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Melilla |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
Matthew Thomson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Thando Longwe-Smit M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Oliver Bonding M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Novak Novakovic M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Matt Kuhar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Reyniak vs Matthew Thomson?
Our model gives 51% to Matthew Thomson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.