Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 02:30
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Thomas Fancutt
Team pages: Matthew Dellavedova · Thomas Fancutt
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Thomas Fancutt
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
7-3 (W-L)
Thomas Fancutt
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Dellavedova
1–1
Thomas Fancutt
(2 last)
- 02 Dec2-1 20-18W
- 03 Mar0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1646 · Thomas Fancutt 1480
| Matthew Dellavedova | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1646 vs 1480).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Thomas Fancutt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-7 | 9.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 23.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 1 – 1 Thomas Fancutt (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 1–1 Thomas Fancutt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/23 ITF M25 Gold Coast | 2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/03/23 ITF M25 Swan Hill | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 30/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Darcy Nicholls M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Martin Borisiouk M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Arthur Weber M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Thomas Fancutt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Evan Zhu Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Woobin Shin Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Zijiang Yang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Thomas Fancutt?
Our model gives 76% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.