Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alana Subasic
Team pages: Himeno Sakatsume · Alana Subasic
Prediction summary
Winner
Himeno Sakatsume
Alana Subasic
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Himeno Sakatsume
4-6 (W-L)
Alana Subasic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Himeno Sakatsume 1506 · Alana Subasic 1502
| Himeno Sakatsume | Alana Subasic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Himeno Sakatsume | Alana Subasic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.5 | 11-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Himeno Sakatsume
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Tereza Valentova WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/11 | Elena Pridankina WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 31/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Simona Waltert WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Dominika Salkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Dayeon Back Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Alana Subasic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Belle Thompson W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Jizelle Sibai W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Naiktha Bains W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Georgia Campbell W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Nana Onozawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Himeno Sakatsume vs Alana Subasic?
Our model gives 71% to Himeno Sakatsume, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.