Tennis · WTA Sopo · 10/11, 16:00

Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julieta Pareja

Team pages: Lucia Bronzetti · Julieta Pareja

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Lucia Bronzetti Julieta Pareja
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Bronzetti 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLLW
Julieta Pareja 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucia Bronzetti 1430 · Julieta Pareja 1558
Lucia BronzettiJulieta Pareja
Our model32%68%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julieta Pareja (rating 1430 vs 1558).
  • Julieta Pareja is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Lucia BronzettiJulieta Pareja
Win %20%70%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) –
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.81.5-0.7
Games (G-P)10.9-13.311.5-8
Aces20.8
Double faults3.52.6
1st serve %59.7%61.4%
Break %38.4%54.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucia Bronzetti

LWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/11 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Cali · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
26/10 Luisina Giovannini
WTA Curitiba · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
14/10 Jil Teichmann
WTA Rovereto · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/10 Mona Barthel
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-1 15-7 W
05/10 Fiona Crawley
WTA Samsun · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/09 Lois Boisson
WTA Adana · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
07/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Antalya · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
26/08 Polina Iatcenko
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
01/08 Laura Samsonova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
31/07 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 15-14 W

Julieta Pareja

WWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Caroline Dolehide
W100 New Braunfels
0-2 7-12 L
31/10 Akasha Urhobo
W100 New Braunfels
2-0 12-5 W
31/10 Sloane Stephens
W100 New Braunfels
2-0 12-7 W
29/10 Barbora Palicova
W100 New Braunfels
2-0 12-8 W
28/10 Diae El Jardi
W100 New Braunfels
2-0 12-5 W
17/10 Sloane Stephens
W100 Edmond
1-2 13-15 L
17/10 Kristina Penickova
W100 Edmond
2-0 12-1 W
16/10 Varvara Lepchenko
W100 Edmond
2-1 15-8 W
15/10 Elizabeth Mandlik
W100 Edmond
2-0 13-6 W
04/10 Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Julieta Pareja?

Our model gives 67% to Julieta Pareja, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.