Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 09/11, 16:00
Prediction: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted
Team pages: Mitchell Krueger · Lui Maxted
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitchell Krueger
Lui Maxted
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchell Krueger
7-3 (W-L)
Lui Maxted
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Krueger 1507 · Lui Maxted 1557
| Mitchell Krueger | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1507 vs 1557).
- Lui Maxted is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mitchell Krueger | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.2 | 13.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchell Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/11 | Marcel Latak Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 27/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Tyler Zink M25 Norman |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Ilya Snitari M25 Norman |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/10 | Aidan Kim M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted?
Our model gives 56% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.