Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 09/11, 14:00
Prediction: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
Team pages: Luca Nardi · Alexander Ritschard
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Nardi
Alexander Ritschard
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Nardi
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Ritschard
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Nardi 1521 · Alexander Ritschard 1641
| Luca Nardi | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1521 vs 1641).
- Alexander Ritschard is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luca Nardi | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.3 | 12.9-6.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 60% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Nardi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Alexander Donski Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rio Noguchi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Joao Dinis Silva Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard?
Our model gives 57% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.