Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 09/11, 10:30

Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev

Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Adrian Andreev

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Nikita Mashtakov Adrian Andreev
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLLW
Adrian Andreev 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1559 · Adrian Andreev 1555
Nikita MashtakovAdrian Andreev
Our model51%49%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Nikita MashtakovAdrian Andreev
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.7-0.7
Games (G-P)12.3-9.413.4-10
Aces1.42
Double faults1.91.6
1st serve %60.8%66.9%
Break %57%60.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nikita Mashtakov

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/11 Stephanos Schinas
Challenger Hersonissos · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
03/11 Lorenzo Angelini
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/10 Benjamin Pietri
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/10 Jiri Cizek
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/10 Kristijan Juhas
M15 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 17-20 L
16/10 Noah Lopez
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/10 Henry Best
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 17-9 W
13/10 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
04/10 Noah Lopez
M15 Sibenik
2-0 12-4 W
03/10 Charles Bertimon
M15 Sibenik
2-0 13-8 W

Adrian Andreev

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/11 Ryotaro Taguchi
Challenger Hersonissos · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/11 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Taranto · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
03/11 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
01/11 Andrea Colombo
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
18/10 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Florence · Clay
1-2 14-19 L
26/09 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
25/09 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
22/09 Oleg Prihodko
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/09 Dusan Obradovic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev?

Our model gives 63% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.