Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 17:00
Prediction: Miguel Tobon vs Henrique Rocha
Team pages: Miguel Tobon · Henrique Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Tobon
Henrique Rocha
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Tobon
5-5 (W-L)
Henrique Rocha
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Tobon 1521 · Henrique Rocha 1496
| Miguel Tobon | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Miguel Tobon makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Miguel Tobon | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.4 | 12.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Tobon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Enrique Bogo Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 02/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Tobon vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model gives 61% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.