Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 17:00
Prediction: Zdenek Kolar vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Team pages: Zdenek Kolar · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Zdenek Kolar
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zdenek Kolar
5-5 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zdenek Kolar 1491 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1591
| Zdenek Kolar | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Lucas Reis da Silva (rating 1491 vs 1591).
- Joao Lucas Reis da Silva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Zdenek Kolar makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Zdenek Kolar | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.4 | 11.8-9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zdenek Kolar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Elmer Moller Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Francesco Forti Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Hynek Barton Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Elmer Moller Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Emilio Camacho Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zdenek Kolar vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 68% to Joao Lucas Reis da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.