Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Max Houkes · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Houkes
0–2
Tom Gentzsch
(2 last)
- 17 Jul1-2 16-16L
- 24 Aug0-2 9-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1566 · Tom Gentzsch 1498
| Max Houkes | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1566 vs 1498).
- Head-to-head: Max Houkes 0–2 Tom Gentzsch (2).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.6 | 12.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 52% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Max Houkes 0 – 2 Tom Gentzsch (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Houkes 0–2 Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 Challenger Bunschoten | 1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/08/25 ITF M25 Uberlingen | 0-2 | 9-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Dominik Macej Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Matej Dodig Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Martin Damm Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Niels Visker Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 58% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.