Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Andrea Pellegrino
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Andrea Pellegrino
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
5-5 (W-L)
Andrea Pellegrino
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Benjamin Bonzi
0–2
Andrea Pellegrino
(2 last)
- 13 May1-2 13-15L
- 20 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1501 · Andrea Pellegrino 1437
| Benjamin Bonzi | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Bonzi (rating 1501 vs 1437).
- Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi 0–2 Andrea Pellegrino (2).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.6 | 9.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 2 Andrea Pellegrino (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Bonzi 0–2 Andrea Pellegrino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/22 Challenger Bordeaux | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/07/16 ITF Italy F21 | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Taylor Fritz ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 28/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
Andrea Pellegrino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Andrea Pellegrino?
Our model gives 75% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.