Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 09/11, 04:00
Prediction: Natsumi Kawaguchi vs BoYoung Jeong
Team pages: Natsumi Kawaguchi · BoYoung Jeong
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsumi Kawaguchi
BoYoung Jeong
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Natsumi Kawaguchi
6-4 (W-L)
BoYoung Jeong
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsumi Kawaguchi 1501 · BoYoung Jeong 1460
| Natsumi Kawaguchi | BoYoung Jeong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsumi Kawaguchi (rating 1501 vs 1460).
- Note: BoYoung Jeong makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Natsumi Kawaguchi | BoYoung Jeong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.5 | 10-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Catherine Aulia W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Xinyu Gao W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Ena Shibahara W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 26/09 | Meiqi Guo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
BoYoung Jeong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Chihiro Muramatsu W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | JiaYi Wang W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Yexin Ma W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Yujin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 02/09 | Jiho Shin W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Sloane Stephens W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsumi Kawaguchi vs BoYoung Jeong?
Our model gives 56% to Natsumi Kawaguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.