Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 08/11, 16:00
Prediction: Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka vs Alexander Ritschard
Team pages: Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka · Alexander Ritschard
Prediction summary
Winner
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Alexander Ritschard
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Ritschard
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 1498 · Alexander Ritschard 1645
| Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1498 vs 1645).
- Alexander Ritschard is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.6 | 12.8-6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Leo Borg M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Gawad El Feky M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Baudel M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Joao Dinis Silva Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Miguel Damas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka vs Alexander Ritschard?
Our model gives 81% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.