Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 08/11, 10:00
Prediction: Adrien Gobat vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Team pages: Adrien Gobat · Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Gobat
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Gobat
7-3 (W-L)
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Gobat 1578 · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1563
| Adrien Gobat | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Adrien Gobat dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 48.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Adrien Gobat | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.1 | 11.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Gobat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Philip Henning M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Mae Malige M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Riu M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Andres M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/10 | Axel Garcian M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Duarte De Lima Sanches Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Vasco Leote Prata Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Gobat vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?
Our model gives 53% to Alejo Sanchez Quilez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.