Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 08/11, 11:30
Prediction: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Ugo Blanchet
Team pages: Adan Freire Da Silva · Ugo Blanchet
Prediction summary
Winner
Adan Freire Da Silva
Ugo Blanchet
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adan Freire Da Silva
4-6 (W-L)
Ugo Blanchet
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adan Freire Da Silva
0–1
Ugo Blanchet
(1 last)
- 26 Jan0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adan Freire Da Silva 1458 · Ugo Blanchet 1536
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ugo Blanchet (rating 1458 vs 1536).
- Ugo Blanchet is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Adan Freire Da Silva 0–1 Ugo Blanchet (1).
Statistics
| Adan Freire Da Silva | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12 | 11.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Adan Freire Da Silva 0 – 1 Ugo Blanchet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adan Freire Da Silva 0–1 Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/20 ITF M15 Veigy-Foncenex | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adan Freire Da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Hugo Pierre M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Nicola Senn M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Hanu Patel M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Leo Borg M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Thomas Faurel M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Martin Damm Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adan Freire Da Silva vs Ugo Blanchet?
Our model gives 77% to Ugo Blanchet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.