Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 11/11, 09:00

Prediction: Felix Gill vs Melios Efstathiou

Team pages: Felix Gill · Melios Efstathiou

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Felix Gill Melios Efstathiou
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Gill 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWWL
Melios Efstathiou 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Felix Gill 1536 · Melios Efstathiou 1503
Felix GillMelios Efstathiou
Our model55%45%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Felix GillMelios Efstathiou
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.2-1.3
Games (G-P)11-10.911.4-12.2
Aces2.41.1
Double faults1.93.6
1st serve %66.8%60.1%
Break %40.6%50%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Felix Gill

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/11 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Taranto · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
06/11 Jay Clarke
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
05/11 Buvaysar Gadamauri
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
04/11 Marcus Walters
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
20/10 Filip Misolic
Challenger Florence · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
17/10 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Catania · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/10 Buvaysar Gadamauri
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
14/10 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/10 Gabriele Piraino
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/09 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Melios Efstathiou

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Cezar Cretu
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 8-16 L
05/11 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 15-15 W
04/11 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 19-17 W
13/10 Giulio Perego
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/10 Finn Murgett
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/09 Georgii Kravchenko
Davis Cup
0-2 1-12 L
19/09 Oleksii Krutykh
Davis Cup
1-2 12-13 L
13/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 13-8 W
12/09 Filippo Moroni
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 18-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Felix Gill vs Melios Efstathiou?

Our model gives 70% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.