Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 11/11, 09:00
Prediction: Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin
Team pages: Ioannis Xilas · Sergey Fomin
Prediction summary
Winner
Ioannis Xilas
Sergey Fomin
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ioannis Xilas
9-1 (W-L)
Sergey Fomin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ioannis Xilas 1568 · Sergey Fomin 1424
| Ioannis Xilas | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ioannis Xilas (rating 1568 vs 1424).
- Ioannis Xilas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ioannis Xilas | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.2 | 9.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 70% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/11 | Andrej Nedic M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Michael Wright M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Vuk Krstajic M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/10 | Thando Longwe-Smit M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Car M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Jip Van Assendelft M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Martin Borisiouk M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Shearer M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Dominik Palan M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin?
Our model gives 67% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.