Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 08/11, 08:30
Prediction: Arvid Nordquist vs Alexander Vasilev
Team pages: Arvid Nordquist · Alexander Vasilev
Prediction summary
Winner
Arvid Nordquist
Alexander Vasilev
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arvid Nordquist
7-3 (W-L)
Alexander Vasilev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arvid Nordquist 1555 · Alexander Vasilev 1467
| Arvid Nordquist | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arvid Nordquist (rating 1555 vs 1467).
- Arvid Nordquist is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Arvid Nordquist | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11 | 8.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 62.6% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arvid Nordquist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Matteo Sciahbasi Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Noah Thurner M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | James Connel M15 Baku |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Pavel Savelov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Alexander Vasilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Michel Hopp M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Nikolaos Chatziavraam M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Mattia Nannelli M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Mihail Ivanov M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Clement Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Luc Fomba M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Herve Antchandie M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arvid Nordquist vs Alexander Vasilev?
Our model gives 56% to Arvid Nordquist, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.