Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 08/11, 08:30

Prediction: Henri Haupt vs Oskari Paldanius

Team pages: Henri Haupt · Oskari Paldanius

Prediction summary
Winner
19% 81%
Henri Haupt Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Henri Haupt 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLLW
Oskari Paldanius 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Henri Haupt 1431 · Oskari Paldanius 1576
Henri HauptOskari Paldanius
Our model30%70%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskari Paldanius (rating 1431 vs 1576).
  • Oskari Paldanius is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Henri Haupt makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Henri HauptOskari Paldanius
Win %30%80%
Win % · Hard 0% (4) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.51.8-0.6
Games (G-P)8.6-11.313.2-9.4
Aces3.11.2
Double faults4.21.7
1st serve %63.5%68.2%
Break %55.7%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henri Haupt

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Alexandre Aubriot
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-1 12-13 L
21/10 Hugo Car
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/10 Ioannis Xilas
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
07/10 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/08 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Daniel Verbeek
M15 Lambermont
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Matthew Carroll
M15 Lambermont
2-1 9-7 W
16/08 Ryan Ndualu
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Nikola Slavic
M15 Malmo
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 Emil Kindhult
M15 Malmo
2-1 14-12 W

Oskari Paldanius

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
25/10 Arda Azkara
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
24/10 Sergey Petrov
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/10 Volodymyr Iakubenko
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/10 Jannik Maute
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W
21/10 Rihards Neimanis
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/10 Romain Faucon
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/10 Amr Asrawy
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
16/10 Sergey Petrov
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
15/10 Tymon Litwic
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henri Haupt vs Oskari Paldanius?

Our model gives 81% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.