Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 08/11, 11:30
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Stephanos Schinas
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Stephanos Schinas
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
5-5 (W-L)
Stephanos Schinas
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1562 · Stephanos Schinas 1401
| Nikita Mashtakov | Stephanos Schinas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1562 vs 1401).
- Nikita Mashtakov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Stephanos Schinas makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Stephanos Schinas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.2 | 5.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 26.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jiri Cizek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 16/10 | Noah Lopez M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Henry Best M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Noah Lopez M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Charles Bertimon M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M15 Sibenik |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Stephanos Schinas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | David Tixhon M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 13/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Jake Dembo UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alfrendo Vogelaar UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Christos Glavas UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Adam Soukup M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Tudor Batin M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Amit Vales M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Stephanos Schinas?
Our model gives 82% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.