Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 11/11, 09:00
Prediction: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu
Team pages: Pavlos Tsitsipas · Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Cezar Cretu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1464 · Cezar Cretu 1587
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1464 vs 1587).
- Cezar Cretu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.3 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 29/10 | Jan Sadzik M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Nicholas Campbell M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 21/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Robin Bertrand M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Matias Reyniak M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Michel Hopp M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Garrett Johns M25 Malta |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Leo Borg M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Malta |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu?
Our model gives 78% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.