Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 08/11, 11:30
Prediction: Leo Raquillet vs Lorenzo Carboni
Team pages: Leo Raquillet · Lorenzo Carboni
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Raquillet
Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Raquillet
2-8 (W-L)
Lorenzo Carboni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Raquillet 1465 · Lorenzo Carboni 1504
| Leo Raquillet | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Leo Raquillet | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.8 | 8.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Raquillet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Michael Geerts Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Matteo Covato Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Lenny Couturier M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Matis Roche M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Adrien Berrut Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Lorenzo Carboni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Raquillet vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Our model gives 57% to Lorenzo Carboni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.