Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 08/11, 07:00
Prediction: Oleksii Krutykh vs Kai Wehnelt
Team pages: Oleksii Krutykh · Kai Wehnelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksii Krutykh
Kai Wehnelt
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksii Krutykh
5-5 (W-L)
Kai Wehnelt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksii Krutykh 1523 · Kai Wehnelt 1507
| Oleksii Krutykh | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 57.1% break avg.
- Note: Kai Wehnelt makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Oleksii Krutykh | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11.6 | 13.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 58.8% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksii Krutykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Miles Jones M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/11 | Etienne Donnet M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Pedro Liborio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Diogo Marques Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksii Krutykh vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 59% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.