Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 08/11, 16:00
Prediction: Nicolas Oliveira vs Mathis Bondaz
Team pages: Nicolas Oliveira · Mathis Bondaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Oliveira
Mathis Bondaz
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Oliveira
6-4 (W-L)
Mathis Bondaz
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Oliveira 1556 · Mathis Bondaz 1638
| Nicolas Oliveira | Mathis Bondaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathis Bondaz (rating 1556 vs 1638).
- Mathis Bondaz is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Oliveira | Mathis Bondaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 2-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8 | 13.4-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Oliveira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Brendan Boland UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/11 | Austin Potter UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Connor Smillie UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/11 | Wesley Cotton UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Sean Daryabeigi M25 Norman |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andre Souza M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Mathis Bondaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Lukas Palovic UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/11 | Leonard Tramolay UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Felix Bockelmann Evans UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Eldar Greinert UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | Louis Hull UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Aryan Saleh UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Rohan Belday UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Oliveira vs Mathis Bondaz?
Our model gives 53% to Nicolas Oliveira, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.