Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 06/11, 20:00
Prediction: Mohammad Alkotop vs Lukas Palovic
Team pages: Mohammad Alkotop · Lukas Palovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohammad Alkotop
Lukas Palovic
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Mohammad Alkotop
8-2 (W-L)
Lukas Palovic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohammad Alkotop 1536 · Lukas Palovic 1559
| Mohammad Alkotop | Lukas Palovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mohammad Alkotop | Lukas Palovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.5 | 12.3-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 44% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohammad Alkotop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Asian Games |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Ali Yazdani Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/12 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/12 | Erik Schiessl UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 04/12 | William Nolan UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Lukas Palovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/11 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/09 | Marcin Andrzejczak UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Harrison Lee UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohammad Alkotop vs Lukas Palovic?
Our model gives 54% to Lukas Palovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.