Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 07/11, 18:00
Prediction: Lukas Palovic vs Mathis Bondaz
Team pages: Lukas Palovic · Mathis Bondaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Palovic
Mathis Bondaz
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Palovic
8-2 (W-L)
Mathis Bondaz
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Palovic 1561 · Mathis Bondaz 1617
| Lukas Palovic | Mathis Bondaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathis Bondaz (rating 1561 vs 1617).
Statistics
| Lukas Palovic | Mathis Bondaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.2 | 12.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Palovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Mohammad Alkotop UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/11 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/09 | Marcin Andrzejczak UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Harrison Lee UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Mathis Bondaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Leonard Tramolay UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Felix Bockelmann Evans UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Eldar Greinert UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | Louis Hull UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Aryan Saleh UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Rohan Belday UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Max Benaim M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Palovic vs Mathis Bondaz?
Our model gives 56% to Mathis Bondaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.