Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 08/11, 02:30
Prediction: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Eva Lopez
Team pages: Chengyiyi Yuan · Eva Lopez
Prediction summary
Winner
Chengyiyi Yuan
Eva Lopez
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Chengyiyi Yuan
6-4 (W-L)
Eva Lopez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chengyiyi Yuan 1524 · Eva Lopez 1504
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Eva Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (11.4/match).
Statistics
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Eva Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.1 | 9-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 11.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengyiyi Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Yu Jun Lin W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yushan Shao W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Sijia Wei W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Yiming Dang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Eva Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Erika Sema W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Sydney |
1-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Angela Cui W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Georgia Campbell W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Caitlin Abela UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Kai Ning Chanya Ng UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Chiara Di Tommaso UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengyiyi Yuan vs Eva Lopez?
Our model gives 76% to Chengyiyi Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.