Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 08/11, 04:00
Prediction: Yidi Yang vs Ashleigh Simes
Team pages: Yidi Yang · Ashleigh Simes
Prediction summary
Winner
Yidi Yang
Ashleigh Simes
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yidi Yang
4-6 (W-L)
Ashleigh Simes
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yidi Yang 1483 · Ashleigh Simes 1526
| Yidi Yang | Ashleigh Simes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashleigh Simes (rating 1483 vs 1526).
- Note: Yidi Yang makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Ashleigh Simes makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Yidi Yang | Ashleigh Simes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.9 | 9.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yidi Yang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | JiaYi Wang W35 Kunshan |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 28/10 | Meiqi Guo W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Xinxin Yao W35 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 21/10 | Yuhan Wang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Han Shi WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Rina Saigo WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Michika Ozeki W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ashleigh Simes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Laquisa Khan W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/10 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuhan Liu W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Belle Thompson W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bianca Hristov UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Eva Lozitskaya UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/09 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Violet Apisah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yidi Yang vs Ashleigh Simes?
Our model gives 63% to Yidi Yang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.