Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 08/11, 06:00
Prediction: Hikaru Sato vs Elyse Tse
Team pages: Hikaru Sato · Elyse Tse
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Sato
Elyse Tse
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Sato
7-3 (W-L)
Elyse Tse
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hikaru Sato
1–0
Elyse Tse
(1 last)
- 13 Dec2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Sato 1627 · Elyse Tse 1510
| Hikaru Sato | Elyse Tse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Sato (rating 1627 vs 1510).
- Hikaru Sato is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Hikaru Sato 1–0 Elyse Tse (1).
Statistics
| Hikaru Sato | Elyse Tse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.2 | 10.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Hikaru Sato 1 – 0 Elyse Tse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hikaru Sato 1–0 Elyse Tse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/23 ITF W15 Wellington | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Katie Swan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Belle Thompson W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/10 | Erika Sema W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Renee Alame W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Merel Hoedt W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/10 | Naiktha Bains W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Nanari Katsumi W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Elyse Tse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Dayeon Back W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Maahi Shah W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Monique Barry W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Ava Beck W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Carolyn Ansari W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Daniela Darta Feldmane W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Sato vs Elyse Tse?
Our model gives 73% to Hikaru Sato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.