Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: August Holmgren vs Philip Sekulic
Team pages: August Holmgren · Philip Sekulic
Prediction summary
Winner
August Holmgren
Philip Sekulic
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
August Holmgren
5-5 (W-L)
Philip Sekulic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · August Holmgren 1452 · Philip Sekulic 1591
| August Holmgren | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Sekulic (rating 1452 vs 1591).
- Philip Sekulic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| August Holmgren | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.7 | 12.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 26.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
August Holmgren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Philip Sekulic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 30/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Zak Talic M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Archie Stewart M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Chen Dong M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Pavle Marinkov M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in August Holmgren vs Philip Sekulic?
Our model gives 52% to August Holmgren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.