Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt
Team pages: Tristan Schoolkate · Cruz Hewitt
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Schoolkate
Cruz Hewitt
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Cruz Hewitt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Schoolkate 1539 · Cruz Hewitt 1527
| Tristan Schoolkate | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Schoolkate dominates on serve: 13 aces and 52.1% break avg.
- Cruz Hewitt dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 71.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Tristan Schoolkate | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.5 | 10.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 13 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 75% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 71.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Cruz Hewitt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Rigele Te Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Jordan Chiu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Coleman Wong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt?
Our model gives 63% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.