Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Jake Delaney vs Juncheng Shang
Team pages: Jake Delaney · Juncheng Shang
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Delaney
Juncheng Shang
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Delaney
4-6 (W-L)
Juncheng Shang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Delaney 1509 · Juncheng Shang 1441
| Jake Delaney | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Delaney (rating 1509 vs 1441).
- Jake Delaney dominates on serve: 11.7 aces and 40.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Jake Delaney | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.9 | 12.2-14.1 |
| Aces | 11.7 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Omar Jasika Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 03/11 | Keegan Smith Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Kai-I Wang Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Juncheng Shang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-20 | L |
| 14/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Kei Nishikori ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Delaney vs Juncheng Shang?
Our model gives 61% to Juncheng Shang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.