Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 08/11, 01:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Nikolas Baker
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · Nikolas Baker
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Nikolas Baker
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
4-6 (W-L)
Nikolas Baker
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1510 · Nikolas Baker 1516
| Hiroki Moriya | Nikolas Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Nikolas Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.6 | 9.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 80.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/10 | James McCabe Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jilong Huang Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Nikolas Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Oliver Clark Anderson M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Alec Braund M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Oliver King UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Luka Vujacic UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Casey Ambler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Nikolas Baker?
Our model gives 70% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.