Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Nicolas Kicker
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Nicolas Kicker
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Nicolas Kicker
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolas Kicker
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1536 · Nicolas Kicker 1559
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.1 | 11.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Nicolas Kicker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/11 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Facundo Mena Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Milledge Cossu Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Nicolas Kicker?
Our model gives 52% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.