Tennis · Challenger Villa Maria · 06/11, 14:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
5-5 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel La Serna
2–0
Carlos Maria Zarate
(2 last)
- 25 Mar2-1 18-11W
- 24 Oct2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1533 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1538
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 2–0 Carlos Maria Zarate (2).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.7 | 10.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 67% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 2 – 0 Carlos Maria Zarate (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 2–0 Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Challenger Bucaramanga | 2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 56% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.