Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 07/11, 10:00

Prediction: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau

Team pages: Felix Gill · Matteo Martineau

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Felix Gill Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Gill 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWWW
Matteo Martineau 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWWW
Head-to-head
Felix Gill 0–1 Matteo Martineau (1 last)
  • 02 May0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Felix Gill 1556 · Matteo Martineau 1566
Felix GillMatteo Martineau
Our model49%51%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 48.1% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Felix Gill 0–1 Matteo Martineau (1).

Statistics

Felix GillMatteo Martineau
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 100% (3) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.6-0.9
Games (G-P)12-10.613.9-12
Aces2.98.4
Double faults1.92.4
1st serve %70.3%75.4%
Break %43.9%48.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

H2H · Felix Gill 0 – 1 Matteo Martineau (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Felix Gill 0–1 Matteo Martineau

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DateSetsGamesRes.
02/05/23
M25 Sabadell
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Felix Gill

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Jay Clarke
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
05/11 Buvaysar Gadamauri
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
04/11 Marcus Walters
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
20/10 Filip Misolic
Challenger Florence · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
17/10 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Catania · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/10 Buvaysar Gadamauri
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
14/10 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/10 Gabriele Piraino
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/09 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
24/09 Iliyan Radulov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Matteo Martineau

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
05/11 Adrian Andreev
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
03/11 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
26/10 Otto Virtanen
Challenger Brest · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
21/10 Thijs Boogaard
M25 Sarreguemines
1-2 15-14 L
18/10 Mika Brunold
Challenger Roanne · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
17/10 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
16/10 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/10 Etienne Donnet
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
13/10 Max Schoenhaus
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau?

Our model gives 51% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.