Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 07/11, 10:00
Prediction: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Felix Gill · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Gill
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Gill
7-3 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Felix Gill
0–1
Matteo Martineau
(1 last)
- 02 May0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Gill 1556 · Matteo Martineau 1566
| Felix Gill | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 48.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Felix Gill 0–1 Matteo Martineau (1).
Statistics
| Felix Gill | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.6 | 13.9-12 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Felix Gill 0 – 1 Matteo Martineau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felix Gill 0–1 Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/23 M25 Sabadell | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Gill
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Jay Clarke Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/11 | Marcus Walters Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 05/11 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 51% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

