Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 06/11, 10:30
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
7-3 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1528 · Matteo Martineau 1552
| Maxim Mrva | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 48.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.1 | 13.7-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 75% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/11 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 53% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.