Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 06/11, 15:00
Prediction: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Team pages: Francesco Maestrelli · Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Maestrelli
6-4 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Maestrelli 1489 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1537
| Francesco Maestrelli | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlo Alberto Caniato (rating 1489 vs 1537).
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 49.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Francesco Maestrelli | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.1 | 12.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 77% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Peter Makk Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Francesco Forti Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Philip Henning Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/10 | Diogo Morais Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 53% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.