Tennis · W15 Monastir · 07/11, 11:00
Prediction: Oceane Babel vs Mariia Lazarenko
Team pages: Oceane Babel · Mariia Lazarenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Oceane Babel
Mariia Lazarenko
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oceane Babel
5-5 (W-L)
Mariia Lazarenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oceane Babel 1521 · Mariia Lazarenko 1569
| Oceane Babel | Mariia Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariia Lazarenko (rating 1521 vs 1569).
- Note: Mariia Lazarenko makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Oceane Babel | Mariia Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.9 | 11.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oceane Babel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Jana Denisenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Martyna Zaremba W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/10 | Nahia Berecoechea W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Mariia Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Mailuodi Lei W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Delia Gaillard W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Isaure Bruscia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10 | Marie Vogt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/10 | Mailuodi Lei W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Leire De Ezcurra W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oceane Babel vs Mariia Lazarenko?
Our model gives 55% to Mariia Lazarenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.