Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 07/11, 09:00
Prediction: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Martha Matoula
Team pages: Alisa Oktiabreva · Martha Matoula
Prediction summary
Winner
Alisa Oktiabreva
Martha Matoula
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alisa Oktiabreva
8-2 (W-L)
Martha Matoula
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alisa Oktiabreva 1643 · Martha Matoula 1553
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1643 vs 1553).
- Alisa Oktiabreva is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Martha Matoula makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-6.2 | 12-10 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alisa Oktiabreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Deborah Chiesa W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Antonia Stoyanov W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Tilwith Di Girolami W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Alice Tubello W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Ofir Manhard W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Ipek Oz W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Nuria Brancaccio W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Martha Matoula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/11 | Matilde Paoletti W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alice Tubello W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alisa Oktiabreva vs Martha Matoula?
Our model gives 76% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.