Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 16/11, 09:30
Prediction: Polina Leykina vs Katerina Mandelikova
Team pages: Polina Leykina · Katerina Mandelikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Leykina
Katerina Mandelikova
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Leykina
4-6 (W-L)
Katerina Mandelikova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Leykina
1–1
Katerina Mandelikova
(2 last)
- 13 Dec0-2 2-12L
- 13 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Leykina 1457 · Katerina Mandelikova 1510
| Polina Leykina | Katerina Mandelikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katerina Mandelikova (rating 1457 vs 1510).
Statistics
| Polina Leykina | Katerina Mandelikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-8.5 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Polina Leykina 1 – 1 Katerina Mandelikova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Leykina 1–1 Katerina Mandelikova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 UTR Pro Olomouc Women | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09/20 ITF W25 Frydek Mistek | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Leykina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Eleni Chatziavraam W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Yu Jun Lin W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Xiao Tang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Yidi Yang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Yingqun Sun W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jeong In Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 19/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Katerina Mandelikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Maria Rentoumi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Daria Kuczer W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucie Petruzelova W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Julie Pastikova W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Emma Slavikova W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Lian Tran W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Leykina vs Katerina Mandelikova?
Our model gives 53% to Katerina Mandelikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.