Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 16/11, 09:30
Prediction: Mariia Lazarenko vs Mirjana Jovanovic
Team pages: Mariia Lazarenko · Mirjana Jovanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Lazarenko
Mirjana Jovanovic
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Lazarenko
8-2 (W-L)
Mirjana Jovanovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Lazarenko 1616 · Mirjana Jovanovic 1543
| Mariia Lazarenko | Mirjana Jovanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariia Lazarenko (rating 1616 vs 1543).
- Mariia Lazarenko is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Mariia Lazarenko makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mariia Lazarenko | Mirjana Jovanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-6.2 | 10.7-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 54% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Ilinca Sagmar W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Anastasia Lizunova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Oceane Babel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/11 | Mailuodi Lei W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Delia Gaillard W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Isaure Bruscia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10 | Marie Vogt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/10 | Mailuodi Lei W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Leire De Ezcurra W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mirjana Jovanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Styliani Roussopoulou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 01/11 | Emma Mazzoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Emma Slavikova W15 Chisinau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Natalia Siedliska UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Pia Praefke UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Alina Kornieieva UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Lazarenko vs Mirjana Jovanovic?
Our model gives 70% to Mariia Lazarenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.