Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 07/11, 04:00
Prediction: Taiyo Hirano vs Julian Messina
Team pages: Taiyo Hirano · Julian Messina
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Hirano
Julian Messina
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Hirano
4-6 (W-L)
Julian Messina
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Hirano 1441 · Julian Messina 1387
| Taiyo Hirano | Julian Messina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taiyo Hirano (rating 1441 vs 1387).
- Note: Julian Messina makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Taiyo Hirano | Julian Messina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.4 | 7.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 59% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Hirano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Tokitaka Ito UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Koji Tsukamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/11 | Daisuke Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Keisuke Ota UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Aruth Chinsupakul UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/10 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Julian Messina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Leonard Tramolay UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Joseph Patton UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Stijn Paardekooper UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Ludovico Vaccari UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Tsz-Him Chan UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Marc Van Der Merwe UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Hirano vs Julian Messina?
Our model gives 53% to Taiyo Hirano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.