Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 08/11, 05:00
Prediction: Yakumo Motokura vs Ewan Ogura
Team pages: Yakumo Motokura · Ewan Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Yakumo Motokura
Ewan Ogura
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yakumo Motokura
8-2 (W-L)
Ewan Ogura
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yakumo Motokura 1535 · Ewan Ogura 1508
| Yakumo Motokura | Ewan Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yakumo Motokura | Ewan Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.3 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yakumo Motokura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/11 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ewan Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Tokitaka Ito UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/02 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/02 | Kairi Inoue UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/02 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yakumo Motokura vs Ewan Ogura?
Our model gives 56% to Yakumo Motokura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.