Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 07/11, 04:00
Prediction: Tomoki Fujiwara vs Kenta Kawada
Team pages: Tomoki Fujiwara · Kenta Kawada
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomoki Fujiwara
Kenta Kawada
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tomoki Fujiwara
6-4 (W-L)
Kenta Kawada
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomoki Fujiwara 1533 · Kenta Kawada 1506
| Tomoki Fujiwara | Kenta Kawada | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kenta Kawada makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Tomoki Fujiwara | Kenta Kawada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.5 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomoki Fujiwara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/11 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/10 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 01/10 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Kenta Kawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Taiyo Sato UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Yanagawa City |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Seiya Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomoki Fujiwara vs Kenta Kawada?
Our model gives 58% to Tomoki Fujiwara, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.