Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 07/11, 01:00
Prediction: Yuga Tashiro vs Seiya Nakanishi
Team pages: Yuga Tashiro · Seiya Nakanishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuga Tashiro
Seiya Nakanishi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yuga Tashiro
9-1 (W-L)
Seiya Nakanishi
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuga Tashiro
4–0
Seiya Nakanishi
(4 last)
- 05 Jan2-0 12-3W
- 17 Feb2-1 17-12W
- 14 Jan2-0 12-6W
- 08 Jan2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuga Tashiro 1598 · Seiya Nakanishi 1462
| Yuga Tashiro | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuga Tashiro (rating 1598 vs 1462).
- Yuga Tashiro is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yuga Tashiro 4–0 Seiya Nakanishi (4).
- Note: Seiya Nakanishi makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Yuga Tashiro | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-6.8 | 10.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 64% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Yuga Tashiro 4 – 0 Seiya Nakanishi (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuga Tashiro 4–0 Seiya Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/02/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/01/25 UTR Pro Noda | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/01/25 UTR Pro Noda | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuga Tashiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Koji Tsukamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/10 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Mikal Statham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Ryusei Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Seiya Nakanishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/11 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/11 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Chikaya Sato M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuga Tashiro vs Seiya Nakanishi?
Our model gives 79% to Yuga Tashiro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.