Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 07/11, 02:30
Prediction: Tokitaka Ito vs Ewan Ogura
Team pages: Ewan Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Tokitaka Ito
Ewan Ogura
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tokitaka Ito
4-6 (W-L)
Ewan Ogura
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tokitaka Ito 1501 · Ewan Ogura 1495
| Tokitaka Ito | Ewan Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tokitaka Ito | Ewan Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.6 | 10.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 61% |
| Break % | 68.5% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokitaka Ito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Taiyo Hirano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Yuta Mitsui UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/11 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/11 | Takashi Yoshida UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/11 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/11 | Kaito Tagami UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ewan Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Tomoki Fujiwara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/02 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/02 | Kairi Inoue UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/02 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 17/02 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Yamato Yukawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokitaka Ito vs Ewan Ogura?
Our model gives 56% to Ewan Ogura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.