Tennis · M25 Harlingen · 06/11, 17:30
Prediction: Keaton Hance vs Aidan Mchugh
Team pages: Aidan Mchugh
Prediction summary
Winner
Keaton Hance
Aidan Mchugh
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Keaton Hance
4-6 (W-L)
Aidan Mchugh
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keaton Hance 1505 · Aidan Mchugh 1552
| Keaton Hance | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mchugh (rating 1505 vs 1552).
- Note: Keaton Hance makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Keaton Hance | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.8 | 11-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 71% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keaton Hance
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Jordan Lee M25 Harlingen |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Ilya Snitari M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Duncan Chan Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Michael Antonius Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Andres Martin Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | William Jansen M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Aidan Mchugh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Noah Zamora M25 Harlingen |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Luca Pow M25 Norman |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Karl Poling M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Martin Riu M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keaton Hance vs Aidan Mchugh?
Our model gives 58% to Aidan Mchugh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.