Tennis · M25 Harlingen · 05/11, 18:30

Prediction: Erik Schiessl vs Kaylan Bigun

Team pages: Erik Schiessl · Kaylan Bigun

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Erik Schiessl Kaylan Bigun
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Erik Schiessl 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLWW
Kaylan Bigun 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Erik Schiessl 1606 · Kaylan Bigun 1525
Erik SchiesslKaylan Bigun
Our model61%39%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erik Schiessl (rating 1606 vs 1525).
  • Erik Schiessl is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Erik SchiesslKaylan Bigun
Win %90%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (6) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.31.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.7-711.6-9.9
Aces4.65
Double faults1.52.9
1st serve %76.4%68.1%
Break %52.1%34.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Erik Schiessl

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Ioan Alexandru Chirita
M25 Harlingen
2-0 12-3 W
03/11 August Brostroem Poulsen
M25 Harlingen
2-0 13-9 W
06/09 Louis Bowden
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
05/09 Radek Chodora
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/09 Cyrus Ahmad
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
03/09 Arenui Luethi
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Gordon Gallagher
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
31/08 Enzo Tafarelo Vargas
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/08 Ziga Sesko
M15 Wels
0-2 10-13 L
01/08 Marlon Vankan
M15 Wels
2-0 13-7 W

Kaylan Bigun

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Balthazar Huss
M25 Harlingen
2-0 12-7 W
28/10 Mees Rottgering
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
27/10 Andres Martin
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/10 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
20/10 Trevor Svajda
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/10 Patrick Zahraj
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/10 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
13/10 Li Tu
M25 Austin
0-2 8-13 L
30/09 Keegan Smith
Challenger Columbus · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
28/09 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Erik Schiessl vs Kaylan Bigun?

Our model gives 54% to Kaylan Bigun, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.